Economic Survey 2023-24

Economic Survey 2023-24

Economic Survey 2023-24

 

1. State of the Economy: Strong Growth in FY24

  • Economic Survey 2023-24Real GDP Growth Projection for FY25: Conservatively projected at 6.5-7%, with balanced risks.
  • Real GDP Growth in FY24: 8.2%, exceeding 8% in three out of four quarters.
  • Industrial Growth Rate: 9.5%, supporting overall economic growth.
  • Retail Inflation in FY24: 5.4%, down from 6.7% in FY23 due to effective administrative and monetary policies.
  • Current Account Deficit (CAD): Stood at 0.7% of GDP in FY24, a significant improvement from 2.0% in FY23.
  • Revenue Collection: 55% from direct taxes and 45% from indirect taxes.
  • Post-Pandemic Recovery: FY24 real GDP was 20% higher than FY20 levels, an achievement accomplished by very few major economies.

2. Monetary Management and Financial Intermediation

  • Banking and Financial Sector Performance in FY24: Displayed stellar performance with financial stability.
  • RBI Maintained Steady Policy Rate: Repo rate remained at 6.5%.
  • Credit Growth: Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs) credit disbursal grew by 20.2%, reaching ₹164.3 lakh crore by March 2024.
  • Agriculture and Allied Sectors Credit Growth: Witnessed double-digit growth in FY24.
  • Financial Inclusion: Continued progress in reducing inequality and poverty. Digital Financial Inclusion (DFI) remains the next big challenge.
  • Primary Capital Markets: Facilitated capital formation of ₹10.9 lakh crore in FY24.

3. Prices and Inflation Control

  • Retail Inflation in FY24: Maintained at 5.4%, the lowest level since the pandemic.
  • Fuel Inflation: Remained low due to price cuts on LPG, petrol, and diesel.
  • Food Inflation: Stood at 7.5% in FY24 due to adverse weather events and supply disruptions.
  • RBI’s Inflation Projection: Expected to fall to 4.5% in FY25 and 4.1% in FY26.

4. External Sector: Stability Amidst Growth

  • External Sector in FY24: Remained strong despite global geopolitical challenges.
  • Services Exports: Grew by 4.9% to $341.1 billion in FY24.
  • India’s Global Market Share: In merchandise exports, India’s share stood at 1.8% in FY24.
  • Top Remittance Recipient: India received $120 billion in remittances in 2023, making it the top global recipient.
  • Current Account Deficit (CAD): Improved to 0.7% of GDP in FY24 from 2.0% in FY23.
  • ‘Poshan Bhi, Padhai Bhi’ Programme: Aims to establish the world’s largest, high-quality preschool network at Anganwadi centres.
  • R&D Progress: Nearly one lakh patents were granted in FY24, compared to less than 25,000 in FY20.

5. Medium-Term Outlook: Growth Strategy for New India

  • Six Key Focus Areas for Amrit Kaal:
    • Boost private investment
    • Expand MSMEs
    • Agriculture as the growth engine
    • Financing green transition
    • Bridging education-employment gap
    • Capacity building of states
  • Target for Economic Growth: A collaborative effort between the Union Government, State Governments, and the private sector is essential for India to achieve 7%+ economic growth by 2030.

6. Climate Change and Energy Transition

  • Renewable Energy Capacity: As of May 2024, 45.4% of India’s installed electricity generation capacity comes from non-fossil sources.
  • Emission Intensity Reduction: Reduced by 33% from 2005 levels by 2019.
  • Investment in Clean Energy: ₹8.5 lakh crore invested between 2014-23 in the clean energy sector.
  • Mission LiFE: Aims to promote harmony between humans and nature, focusing on mindful consumption rather than overconsumption.

7. Social Sector: Benefits that Empower

  • Ayushman Bharat Scheme: 34.7 crore cards issued, covering 7.37 crore hospital admissions.
  • Mental Health Coverage: 22 mental disorders covered under Ayushman Bharat – PMJAY.

8. Employment and Skill Development

  • Urban Unemployment Rate in FY24: Declined to 6.7%.
  • EPFO Net Payroll Additions: Increased from 61.1 lakh in FY19 to 131.5 lakh in FY24.
  • Gig Workforce: Expected to expand to 2.35 crore by FY30.
  • Female Labour Force Participation: Showed continuous improvement over the last six years.

9. Agriculture and Food Management

  • Average Annual Growth Rate in Agriculture and Allied Sectors (FY19-24): 4.18% at constant prices.
  • Total Agricultural Credit Disbursed in FY24: ₹22.84 lakh crore.
  • Payoff from Agricultural Research: Each rupee invested yields a return of ₹13.85.

10. Industry: Focus on Small and Medium Enterprises

  • Industrial Growth Rate in FY24: 9.5%.
  • Pharmaceutical Market: Valued at $50 billion, making India the world’s third-largest pharmaceutical market.
  • New Airport Terminals: 21 terminal buildings operationalized in FY24, increasing passenger handling capacity by 62 million annually.

13. Climate Change and India’s Perspective

  • Mission LiFE: Focuses on promoting mindful consumption and sustainable growth rather than overconsumption.
  • Sovereign Green Bonds: Issued ₹36,000 crore worth of bonds in FY24 to finance green projects.
  • India’s Unique Approach: Emphasizes a harmonious relationship with nature, contrasting with the Western culture of overconsumption.

11. Services: Fueling Growth Opportunities

  • Services Sector Exports in FY24: Reached $341.1 billion.
  • India’s Share in Global Digital Service Exports: Increased to 6% in FY23.
  • E-commerce Industry: Expected to surpass $350 billion by FY30.

12. Infrastructure: Lifting Potential Growth

  • National Highway Construction Speed: Increased from 11.7 km per day in FY14 to 34 km per day in FY24.
  • Railway Capital Expenditure: Increased by 77% over the past five years.
  • PLI Schemes: Attracted investment of ₹1.28 lakh crore until FY24.

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